Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004248 0.004468 0.004695 0.004945 0.005213 0.005493 0.005808
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003811 0.004135 0.004481 0.004879 0.005328 0.005818 0.006399
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003617 0.004008 0.004439 0.004951 0.005547 0.006224 0.007054
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003432 0.003866 0.004355 0.004951 0.005664 0.006497 0.007554
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003261 0.003724 0.004255 0.004916 0.005725 0.006694 0.007958
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003089 0.003567 0.004125 0.004831 0.005712 0.006790 0.008233
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002946 0.003437 0.004017 0.004764 0.005711 0.006895 0.008516
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002855 0.003363 0.003972 0.004767 0.005795 0.007105 0.008941
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002693 0.003195 0.003803 0.004605 0.005657 0.007016 0.008955
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002625 0.003140 0.003771 0.004615 0.005739 0.007218 0.009374
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002607 0.003146 0.003815 0.004725 0.005956 0.007608 0.010076
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002520 0.003061 0.003740 0.004671 0.005948 0.007689 0.010335
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002442 0.002986 0.003675 0.004630 0.005958 0.007795 0.010641
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002361 0.002904 0.003598 0.004570 0.005937 0.007857 0.010884
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002334 0.002893 0.003613 0.004636 0.006096 0.008182 0.011546
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002285 0.002849 0.003583 0.004636 0.006159 0.008368 0.012002
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002226 0.002791 0.003532 0.004604 0.006172 0.008479 0.012342
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002154 0.002713 0.003450 0.004526 0.006114 0.008477 0.012493
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002092 0.002646 0.003382 0.004464 0.006077 0.008506 0.012695
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002055 0.002613 0.003359 0.004467 0.006137 0.008686 0.013164
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001968 0.002509 0.003236 0.004319 0.005961 0.008485 0.012962
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001938 0.002483 0.003220 0.004328 0.006026 0.008673 0.013449
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001939 0.002500 0.003265 0.004428 0.006236 0.009102 0.014398